All currency amounts are stated in United States dollars
Methanex Corporation (TSX:MX) (NASDAQ:MEOH) announced today that its Board of Directors unanimously approved two key decisions aligned with its capital allocation priorities:
These decisions complement a separate announcement yesterday on an agreement with Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd. (MOL) on key commercial terms for a strategic shipping partnership. The agreement is expected to realize strategic benefits for our Waterfront Shipping business and unlock $145 million in non-dilutive capital to further strengthen our financial position.
John Floren, President & CEO of Methanex, commented, “We are very pleased to announce these important steps that we believe will deliver long-term value to our shareholders. The timing is right to restart construction on our Geismar 3 project as the methanol industry outlook is positive, we have a strong financial position to fund the project and the project has been significantly de-risked and is well positioned to be completed on-time and on budget. Geismar 3 will strengthen our asset portfolio as it will be one of our lowest cost plants, with access to abundant and low-cost natural gas and have one of the lowest CO2 emissions intensity profiles in the industry.”
“We expect our future cash generation capability will be enhanced by Geismar 3, a unique project with significant capital and operating cost advantages. Geismar 3 is our only major growth capital project expected over the next few years. We are pleased to announce an increase in our dividend, and we expect that Geismar 3 will support a substantial increase in our shareholder distribution potential in the years to come.”
Geismar 3 will benefit from favourable methanol industry fundamentals
Current methanol industry fundamentals are positive as growing methanol demand, low global inventory levels, ongoing industry supply challenges and a rising energy price environment have supported higher methanol prices. Over the medium term, we believe that the industry will need new supply to meet growing methanol demand.
We expect strong methanol demand growth of approximately 16 million tonnes or 20% (~4% CAGR) over the next five years. That compares with just 14 million tonnes of new industry capacity additions over that same period, including Geismar 3. With limited project commitments beyond 2022, industry operating rates will need to increase to meet growing demand.
Strong financial position to restart Geismar 3 construction
We recently completed deleveraging initiatives and credit facility amendments to further strengthen our balance sheet and enhance our financial flexibility:
These completed credit arrangements supplement the proceeds of $145 million from our strategic shipping partnership with MOL.
As a result, we have a healthy cash balance underpinned by access to $900 million of undrawn backup liquidity beyond the expected Geismar 3 construction period.
Geismar 3 is de-risked, on budget and on-track for commercial operations by late 2023/early 2024
We now estimate the total capital costs for the Geismar 3 project to be $1.25 to $1.35 billion, lower than our prior estimate of $1.3 to $1.4 billion. This revised estimate is based on a significant reduction in the project’s execution risk profile. We expect that approximately $435 million will be committed to the project as of the end of Q3 2021 through the care and maintenance period. We expect approximately $800 to $900 million of remaining capital costs after resuming construction in October 2021.
We plan to fund construction with cash on hand and future cash flow (without incurring incremental debt) at methanol prices of approximately $275 per tonne and higher. In addition, if sustained methanol prices are approximately $325 per tonne or higher, we anticipate that we will have the ability to further de-lever and increase shareholder distributions during the Geismar 3 construction period.
Commercial operations are targeted for the end of 2023 or early 2024.
Consistent capital allocation priorities with emphasis on financial flexibility
Our capital allocation priorities remain unchanged to (1) maintain our business, (2) pursue profitable growth opportunities, and (3) return excess cash to shareholders. Within this framework, we are increasing our emphasis on financial flexibility. This means that we will target higher cash balances, lower leverage and a greater weighting on flexible vehicles for distributions, such as share buybacks, on top of a sustainable dividend. Today, we reset our regular quarterly dividend to $0.125 per share from $0.0375 per share.
Conference call and webcast
Methanex management will host a conference call on Friday July 16, 2021 at 10:00am Eastern Time (7:00am Pacific Time).
Presentation materials can be found at www.methanex.com/investor-relations
To access the call:
About Methanex
Methanex is a Vancouver-based, publicly traded company and is the world's largest producer and supplier of methanol to major international markets. Methanex shares are listed for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada under the trading symbol "MX" and on the NASDAQ Global Market in the United States under the trading symbol "MEOH”. Methanex can be visited online at www.methanex.com.
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION WARNING
This news release contains forward-looking statements with respect to us and our industry. These statements relate to future events or our future performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. Statements that include the words "believes," "expects," "may," "will," "should," "potential," "estimates," "anticipates," "aim," "goal", "targets", "plan," "predict" or other comparable terminology and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements.
More particularly and without limitation, any statements regarding the following are forward-looking statements:
We believe that we have a reasonable basis for making such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this document are based on our experience, our perception of trends, current conditions and expected future developments as well as other factors. Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing the conclusions or making the forecasts or projections that are included in these forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, future expectations and assumptions concerning the following:
However, forward-looking statements, by their nature, involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements. The risks and uncertainties primarily include those attendant with producing and marketing methanol and successfully carrying out major capital expenditure projects in various jurisdictions, including, without limitation:
Having in mind these and other factors, investors and other readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. They are not a substitute for the exercise of one’s own due diligence and judgment. The outcomes implied by forward-looking statements may not occur and we do not undertake to update forward-looking statements except as required by applicable securities laws.
For further information, contact:
Investor inquiries:
Kim Campbell
Director, Investor Relations
Methanex Corporation
604 661 2600 or Toll Free: 1 800 661 8851
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Media Inquiries:
Jim Fitzpatrick
Director, Global Communications
Methanex Corporation
604 661 2600 or Toll Free: 1 800 661 8851
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
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